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owtahear said...
Reed, I was going to post something associated with this in the next day or so. Well not Tino specific, but how college football's offensive numbers are on steroids. Look at just last week. Landry Jones passed for 554 yards and 6TD's. Tavon Austin rushed for 344 yards and had almost 600 yards himself in total offense. Mike Glennon of NC State had over 500 yards passing and 5TD's. Tahj Boyd had 425 yards passing for Clemson. That game contained a 500 yard passer, a 400 yard passer, 4 100 yard rushers, 1 200 yard receiver and 4 100 yard receiver. IN ONE GAME! And here's the deal...no one even blinks at this anymore.
That is just two games from one week. We have seen numbers like this all the time. It is getting more and more outrageous each year. Even the SEC puts up points now. LSU gave up 35 to Ole Miss at home, and won because they score 42. Again, same week.
And this is not even looking at the WVU/Baylor game. I am in a College Fantasy Football League. I have Geno Smith, Nick Flanagan (Baylor) as my QB's. Stedman Bailey as one of my WR's. Some WAC RB's who put up mad numbers each week. So I follow these stats more closely than I used to. It is mindboggling.
So now the preemptive Tino strike. Please don't talk about how underrated he was based on the numbers. Willie Stargell never hit 50 HR's, Brady Anderson did.
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GibsoniaPanther
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steelcurtain55 ●
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Pitt0008mmd said...
And DW sucked at evaluating QBs so it just solidifies even further my belief that INTs are overemphasized. However, TDs do count for quite a bit. But .. everytime a team punts the ball it's essentially an INT. The key is to play big at crunch time and not throw INTs that FLIP THE FIELD .. i.e. pick sixes and long returns. A great INT% needs to be judged by watching what happens on the field .. all these stats are worthless without the eye test and some common sense. Tino sucks.
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Pitt0008mmd said...
And DW sucked at evaluating QBs so it just solidifies even further my belief that INTs are overemphasized. However, TDs do count for quite a bit. Everytime a team punts the ball it's essentially an INT. The key is to play big at crunch time and not throw INTs that FLIP THE FIELD .. i.e. pick sixes and long returns. A great INT% needs to be judged by watching what happens on the field .. all these stats are worthless without the eye test and some common sense. Tino sucks.
steelcurtain55 ●
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steelcurtain55 ●
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Pitt0008mmd said...
There's a lot that goes into evaluating a QB. But most importantly they have to handle the pressure of a rush. Tino ducks the rush. That should have been obvious in his HS tapes .. no? Turtle mode is an insult to turtles .. that's how bad it gets. The ND game .. oh my lord .. it was painful.
This post has been edited 2 times, most recently by steelcurtain55 on 11/20/2012 at 4:07 PM
steelcurtain55 ●
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steelcurtain55 said...
I disagree.
When a team punts the ball it is not essentially a INT. Look at the 2000 Baltimore Ravens. They routinely struggled on offense but they at least flipped the field and put teams in awful positions. If you have a good to great defense, the punt can be a great weapon. Great coaches know that it is often the hidden yardage in games that leads to ultimate success just on probability alone.
Throwing INT's often reverses the field and puts defenses in awful positions. It often results in momentum swings. Throwing picks on your side of the 50 is awful because it takes away scoring chances, results in poor field position, etc. But, most importantly it takes points off the board. Tino has not done this as a senior.
People used to rip on Palko like crazy because he wasn't what they thought he should be. Pete Carroll said that his talent was so great that he could replace Leinhart with Palko and they wouldn't have skipped a beat.
Tino is not a great QB. But, he doesn't suck. He just doesn't have the talent to overcome the lack of talent on offense. He plays within the system and right now the system doesn't have enough horses and playmakers to put the points on the board. Go and watch a game from coaches tape instead of a live broadcast. I did once last year and you saw WR's not getting open, OL/RB's missing blocks, QB's not seeing the hot receiver, etc. It wasn't and hasn't been all on Tino.
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PhPanther1 ●
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Pitt0008mmd said...
Ben makes plays as he's getting hit. Tino covers up and waits for the hit .. or runs slowly in the opposite direction. And he immediately turns his eyes to the rush .. never looks downfield. Ben couldn't be any further from Tino. Apples and oranges. Brian Brohm is the PERFECT example of a kid who put up big numbers because of a great OL and offensive scheme .. with playmakers. Brohm can't hack it in the NFL because he watches the rush. He's a coward. Big numbers don't mean squat.
And i'll add that part of that comes from the inability to process the information quickly .. which is genetic .. nature .. not nurture. So you either GOT IT .. or you don't got it. Pitt needs a guy who GOT IT.
steelcurtain55 ●
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owtahear said...
For some reason, this didn't go threw. But I posted that both the collegiate and pro QB rating systems are too skewed with interception and completion % as too high of factors both positive and negative.
If you throw the ball downfield, you are going to have a lower completion rate and higher interception rate. Also, those meaningless hail mary interceptions factor into it as much as a drive killing interception. But here is where I have a real problem with it.
Here's the scenario. You are down 31-27. There is 2:59 left. You have the ball 3rd and 13 on your own 35. QB A: Throws a 20 yard post pattern that deflects off of the WR's hands and deflects to a safety downfield for an interception. So they get the ball 1st and 10 on their 38.
QB B: Gets happy feet, rush comes, and he dumps the ball off to a RB (ball thrown slightly behind him) who gets tackled for a 2 yard gain. Now you have to punt. And the clock is ticking.
QB B doesn't get nearly as negative rating as QB A, yet what he did was more boneheaded and never had a shot and in the end, likely more damaging to the team's chance of winning. This happens more than you think, and especially with a QB we all know and is fond of his family's foods.
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steelcurtain55 ●
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Fun With QB Stats